| Наименование статьи | Dynamics and Age Structure of Migration Flows of Far Eastern Regions
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| Страницы | 220-242 |
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| Аннотация | Migration has long been the main reason for population decline in the Russian Far East. Taking into account a large number of methods and approaches to the analysis and assessment of population migration, we put forward an original methodology for assessing the parameters of population migration between pairs of regions of the Far East. Our methodology for estimating the number of migrants uses the method of age shifting (the component method) together with elements of the method of migration movement balance. In contrast to existing approaches to assessing migration mobility, our approach helps to obtain minimum migration values with a certain range of possible values that guarantee the preservation of population balance. Of particular interest is assessment of migration by age group in the COVID and post-COVID period. A comparative analysis of migration balance data based on official statistics and the values obtained by own calculations reveal a number of anomalies and tampering with official information on population number, birth rate and mortality in children and adolescents under 15 years of age. We reveal an overestimation of the number of newborns in 2018–2021 in five regions of the Far East. In the pandemic years (2020–2021) we observe a small migration increase for population groups aged 17–19 and 20–29 from regions outside the Far East. Migration growth in the three leading regions (the Khabarovsk and Primorye territories and the Republic of Sakha) has age-specific features and changes over time
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| Ключевые слова | migration, age structure, age shifting method, Far East
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| Журнал | Economic and social changes: facts, trends, forecast |
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| Номер выпуска | 1 |
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| Автор(ы) | Kulakov M. P., Mishchuk . N. |
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| Файл |  |
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