Статья "Effects of E-Commerce on Export Trade: Spatial Pan..."
Наименование статьи | Effects of E-Commerce on Export Trade: Spatial Panel Data Models for Regions of China |
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Страницы | 212-229 |
Аннотация | The primary goals of the paper are to examine the impact of e-commerce on export trade and to determine whether the level of e-commerce development has spatial spillover, siphoning, and threshold effects on export trade. The goals predetermined the choice of research methodology. This paper constructs the spatial lag model and threshold model based on the panel data of 31 China’s regions (provinces and other districts) from 2009 to 2022. The empirical results show a strong spatial autocorrelation and a robust spatial lag effect on the export trade in China. The improvement of the regional e-commerce level can directly promote the development of local export trade and has a significant positive spatial spillover effect, i.e., the improvement of the local e-commerce level can lead to the development of export trade in neighboring regions; there is no siphoning effect between provinces. According to the result of the threshold effect, there is a single-threshold effect of e-commerce on the impact of export trade, and the positive effect of different levels of e-commerce development on export trade is on an upward trend. The value of the research is a specific application of spatial regression modeling in empirical studies, and the findings provide insights for promoting the synergistic development of e-commerce and export trade |
Ключевые слова | export trade, e-commerce, spatial regression model, spatial spillover effect, threshold effect, siphon effect |
Журнал | Economic and social changes: facts, trends, forecast |
Номер выпуска | 2 |
Автор(ы) | Efimova E. G., Shi Y., Skripnuk D. F. |