| Наименование статьи | Territorial Planning and Zipf’s Law |
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| Страницы | 103 |
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| Аннотация | Territorial planning is an integral part of strategic planning in accordance with the current
legislation of the Russian Federation. When development strategies are elaborated, the assessment of the
socio-economic situation in the region should be based on the results obtained in the course of studying
the current situation in a constituent entity of the Russian Federation in comparison with its border
territorial entities, as well as in comparison with indicators in the macroregion (federal district). SWOT
analysis is the most common technology for assessing the situation in a region. Due to various reasons the
use of this method does not provide high accuracy of the result. The use of the Zipf distribution (inversely
proportional dependence) as a reference provides an opportunity for a more accurate quantitative analysis
of the dynamics of indicators used to assess the socio-economic situation in territorial entities. The goal
of the paper is to determine current external conditions, trends and imbalances in the socio-economic
situation in a region with the use of Zipf’s law. In contrast to the traditional use of the law in the study of
demographic indicators, our paper aims to consider the dynamics of changes in gross regional product
and in the number of jobs. The results indicate that the distribution of the value added and the distribution
of number of jobs tend to an inversely proportional function. The discussion of the results is presented
in the form of a discussion on the impact of socio-economic situation on the formation of long-term
development plans; the discussion takes into account the positions of constituent entities of the Russian
Federation on the Zipf curve. In addition, we substantiate the possibility and necessity of using the
gross regional product indicator in the conditions of the Russian Federation. Our conclusions show the advantage of using distributions to study the existing external environment in a constituent entity of the
Russian Federation. Practical application of Zipf’s law helps define the starting conditions and forecast
the consequences of implementation of socio-economic development strategies more accurately and to
substantiate quantitative indicators for long-term plans. |
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| Ключевые слова | Zipf’s law, gross regional product, gross value added, number of jobs, population, strategic planning, territorial planning |
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| Журнал | Economic and social changes: facts, trends, forecast |
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| Номер выпуска | 2 |
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| Автор(ы) | Кабанов В. А. |
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| Файл |  |
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